OG vs Newbee: Is a surprise possible?

OG and Newbee will make their entry in The International 2019 in Day two's first upper bracket round 1 BO3.

OG vs Newbee at TI9 starts at 3am BST / 4am CEST with live streams and betting odds at Luckbox.

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Head-to-head stats

Advantage Newbee but it's not Newbee, it's Forward Gaming

Newbee is actually playing former Forward Gaming's roster who got dropped by their org about a month ago.

Both teams (Forward and OG) have faced each other only twice, it was in 2019 and OG is unbeaten. The only victory of OG in ESL One Birmingham was vs Forward Gaming (2-0) in a group stage BO2 where Forward Gaming finished last of their group. Both teams drew 1-1 in ESL One Katowice Group Stage then.

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Their road to TI9

TI9 Qualification

Advantage OG

OG

OG only got their ticket for The International 2019 at the EPICENTER Moscow Major 2019 last June through the DPC standings. Their Dota 2 season did not start ideally with the departure of Ana but they managed to secure a ticket without the stress that goes along regional qualifiers... and got Ana back too.

Newbee

Newbee's roster (playing as Forward Gaming) did not manage to qualify through the DPC table and finished 16th in the final DPC standings. Instead they had to qualify through the North America qualifier and they did easily (Only 1 game lost in Final on the whole qualifier).

TI9 Group Stage

Advantage OG

OG

OG literally crushed their group only drawing the first game to Natus Vincere and the last one vs Vici Gaming when they were already qualified. N0tail even allowed himself a bit of bantering vs EG. They naturally finished first of their group with 14 points.

OG 1-1 Natus Vincere - Series B1
OG 2-0 Infamous - Series B2
Evil Geniuses 0-2 OG - Series B3
OG vs Ninjas 2-0 Pyjamas - Series B4
OG 2-0 Royal Never Give Up - Series B5
Virtus.pro 0-2 OG - Series B6
OG 2-0 FNATIC - Series B7
Vici Gaming 1-1 OG - Series B9

Notail picked chen just to use this chatwheel vs fly from r/DotA2

Newbee

Only won twice during their TI9 group stage vs eliminated Chaos E.C and Team Liquid. But they only lost once too, vs the ogre Team Secret. PSG.LGD and Mineski did not manage to beat Newbee who finished 3rd of their group behind PSG.LGD and Team Secret.

Team Liquid 0-2 Newbee - Series A1
Team Secret 2-0 Newbee - Series A2
PSG.LGD 1-1 Newbee - Series A4
TNC Predator 1-1 Newbee - Series A5
Alliance 1-1 Newbee - Series A6
Newbee 1-1 Keen Gaming - Series A7
Newbee 2-0 Chaos E.C - Series A8
Newbee 1-1 Mineski - Series A9

Mindset going into the match

In spite of a clean qualification through their regional qualifier as Forward Gaming, Newbee/FG has not shown as much consistency as OG in their results more recently. This is what prevented them from qualifying through the DPC table. They showed positive results in TI9 Group Stage though, but will it be enough to tame the OG beast?

Newbee might have leaked insights on OG's strategy too, which would give them more chances to beat them. :D

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Credits: u/Movand-Reddit

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*Featured Picture Credit: Redbull Youtube Channel