Bouke Vogelaar is an esports fan and keen Counter-Strike bettor. We've asked Boukev, as he is known to his friends in the Luckbox Discord server, to share his CS:GO predictions to, hopefully help you make your own winning selections...
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United Masters League
ARCY vs Copenhagen Flames
The United Masters League is a great way to get a good look at the most prominent teams of the European stage that play just outside the spotlight.
Familiar teams such as Sprout, BIG and ForZe battle it out to decide who is the best of the rest in Europe.
It's a great moment to watch up-and-coming teams and get knowledge to do some underdog betting when they happen to join a big tournament in 2020. The team ARCY is the rebranded Aristocracy team from Poland with veteran player Taz as captain after losing funding in November 2019.
Their results have been less than usual since but they have always been close to on par with the Danish Copenhagen Flames. Just like ARCY, the Copenhagen Flames pick up European B tournament wins from time to time but fail to break into the big leagues. Looking at this match I was expecting a 50/50 split in win-odds but the recent worsened results of ARCY put them at 2.6x for a win. I am not judging the Polish Power yet and feel they could win from the Danes.
Boukev's best bet: ARCY to win vs Copenhagen Flames at 2.6x - make your predictions now
Havu vs Illuminar Gaming
Havu gaming had a decent year in 2019, joining plenty of events and tournaments and gathering quite a lot of lower-level prize money along the way. Havu and Illuminar Gaming (former X-kom team) played each other at least 17 times in 2019 with most of the wins (10W-5L-2D) going to the Finnish Havu.
The Finns gained at least 50% more prize money in 2019, making them my favorite for this matchup. Take a special look at player ZOREE, of Havu, who has been getting in form in the last three months and is performing better than ever before.
Boukev's best bet: Havu to win vs Illuminar gaming at 1.6x - make your predictions now
Heroic vs forZe
Since I started to watch the Russian team forZe, I have been impressed with their play and considered them a top-10 team early on. While I lost some predictions with my faith in them, this EPICENTER 2019 tournament seems to be a renewed start of showing their potential.
With wins over EG and Virtus.pro (Ex-Avangar) they are on the right direction for now. Meanwhile, Heroic have been an solid but not overwhelming opponent for a long time now. Heroic win against lower-ranked teams (<#20) and lose against higher-ranked teams (>#20). With forZe's improvements in this tournament, I see them winning this matchup.
Boukev's best bet: ForZe to win vs Heroic at 1.8x - bet now
Related: The top CS:GO gambling sites of 2020
Evil Geniuses vs Na'Vi
The winter months have not been kind to Evil Geniuses so far. They looked close to unbeatable in October and September (77% WR) but have lost most of their flair in November and December matches during both their tournaments in Asia and during the ECS and ESL Pro playoffs (44% WR).
S1mple and the boys from Na'Vi have been doing their thing, with electronic stepping up from time to time they have performed like a top-10 team all year round but have a hard time actually winning a tournament.
All in all, I believe this match can go either way, with EG showing more of their old potential or Na'Vi just doing their thing and profiting from EG's winter blues. Due to the better odds on an EG victory, I am picking them to win.
Boukev's best bet: Evil Geniuses to win vs Na'vi at 2.2x - make your prediction
BLAST Pro Series Global Final
The island of Riffa in Bahrain will be the 2019 home of the Blast Pro Series Global Final in which four teams battle it out for the season finale. The format will be a double-elimination BO3 bracket over three days with a $500,000 prize pool.
The first matches will put FaZe up against NIP, while powerhouse Astralis will meet the young Team Liquid, who are growing eager for a trophy.
NIP vs FaZe
Looking at possible predictions the odds seem to suggest that FaZe will continue their current seven-win streak against NIP but I am betting on NIP to show up to this event and proof us wrong. This will require an highly activated plopski / f0rest combo that has shown success in recent events.
Boukev's Best Bet: NIP to win versus FaZe at 2.3x - make your prediction
Astralis vs Team Liquid
The Astralis vs Team Liquid clash is one match to pay special attention to as this is the moment for both teams to finalise the feelings about their performance in the past year.
Astralis are motivated to win to be able to end with another tournament victory in 2019 only confirming their dominance for another year. Even naysayers will have a hard time picking another number one team for the full 2019 year.
Team Liquid, on the other hand, enjoyed a strong first half of 2019 but failed to confirm finals in the second half of 2019. For Team Liquid, a win in the BLAST Pro Series event would provide a hopeful boost for 2020 and a welcome break from the last tournament results.
My bet will go to Astralis at this time because I feel the significantly younger Team Liquid might have trouble focusing in a venue like Bahrain even when tournament organiser BLAST Pro and the city will try their best to make them feel at home.
Boukev's Best Bet: Astralis to win versus Team Liquid at 1.4x - make your prediction
If things happen as predicted I assume Both Astralis and Team Liquid to make quick work of NIP and FaZe in the semifinals and continue their fight again in the Grand Final. I know I will be watching!
ESL Pro League Season 10 Finals predictions
Between December 3rd and December 8th, 16 teams will battle for the 2019 season of ESL Pro League with a $600,000 prize pool to be divided in Odense, Denmark.
Astralis are fresh from victory at ECS Season 8 Finals, winning in convincing fashion and are again our favorites for the overall victory. They just have to beat the home soil jitters, considering the fact they normally perform better outside of Denmark. For now let's consider some potential betting opportunities for the first round.
MIBR vs FaZe Clan
With a strong performance at IEM Beijing, FaZe may have found some new energy in their team. Their last matches in the Pro league have also been great, beating both Vitality and Fnatic.
MIBR performed in keeping with their #14 HLTV rank in recent times. Swaying my bet is the fact that FaZe's coldzera might have inside information about their dominant strategies which could help Faze greatly in this match up against coldzera's former team.
Boukev's best bet: FaZe clan to win vs MIBR at 1.6x
Fnatic vs Evil Geniuses
The star match of the first round is without a doubt this titanic battle between Fnatic and Evil Geniuses. Evil Geniuses currently have the upper hand in odds especially since their double victory over Fnatic during the StarSeries.
But without any statistic of result to back me up, I do feel like Fnatic have been performing better in the last months. So I am betting on Fnatic to win this time.
Boukev's best bet: Fnatic to win vs Evil Geniuses at 2.1x
Heroic vs 100 Thieves
In my mind Heroic has been an "almost great" team for ages now. They consistently beat lower-ranked teams and should be ready to start getting some results against the best teams but never seem to shine at the right moment. They remain a dangerous outsider.
Meanwhile, 100 Thieves have only started to perform better after their new name and have only suffered against Astralis. For this match, I am betting on 100 Thieves to win and I remain happy with Heroic increasing the odds and potential winnings.
Boukev's best bet: 100 Thieves to win vs Heroic at 1.6x
ECS Season 8 Finals predictions
Starting on Thursday, November 28th, eight teams from EU and NA regions will battle for the $500,000 prize pool in FACEIT's ECS Season 8 Finals. These opening matches provide a great moment to unleash some prediction power.
Astralis vs Sharks Esports
The Astralis vs Sharks Esports matchup would be the perfect place to go for an extremely bold and profitable bet. Unfortunately, Astralis are just too much of a powerhouse to ignore at the moment. Their run at IEM Beijing showed they have not lost any of their power. Astralis won seven of the nine maps they played while keeping their opponent on less than 10 rounds.
Meanwhile, Sharks do have a decent winrate (72%) with the current two Argentinians in the lineup but if you look at the quality of their opponents it is hard to be that impressed. With low gains on an Astralis win, let's bet on them keeping the amount of rounds under 24.5.
Boukev's best bet: Number of rounds: Under 24.5 at 1.6x.
Fnatic vs MIBR
Fnatic have shown decent performances with their current lineup, including flusha and Golden, they have had some losses against the top teams of EG, 100 Thieves and Astralis but have managed to win consistently against all lower ranked teams (mousesports, G2, Vitality and Furia).
MIBR still have a 60% WR after the loss of coldzera in September and the addition of kNgv- as a replacement but, looking at the teams they won against, there is not much inspiration to go for a MIBR win.
Boukev's best bet: Fnatic to win vs Mibr at 1.4.
Evil Geniuses vs AVANGAR
AVANGAR had star performances back in August and September during the StarLadder Major in Berlin and BLAST Moscow but haven't shown that great form since. They have been losing to teams that they should have been outperforming by now (HAVU / CR4ZY).
On the other side of the match, Evil Geniuses have only improved their play after merging out of the NRG name winning both ESL One NY, StarSeries and performing great along the way. Only the last tours to IEM Beijing and Shanghai have been unimpressive for EG, dropping matches to FaZe, MIBR and mousesports. Ignoring the eastern adventures of EG, I am still betting on a solid win for them against AVANGAR.
Boukev's best bet: Evil Geniuses to win vs Avangar at 1.3x
Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team Liquid
Team Liquid have dropped a few matches here and there since their insane wins and run to the top of the pack in June and July and, during that time, opponent NIP has been a steady sub-top team all along the way.
NIP are such a steady 50% win and 50% loss team for such a long time that it becomes very hard to find a moment in time in which they have been either stellar or horrible. Betting on this steady difference in skill, I expect Team Liquid to win the match.
Boukev's best bet: Team Liquid to win vs NiP at 1.4x
BLAST Pro Series: Copenhagen
Navi vs Team Liquid on Dust2
Team Liquid is looking stronger than Navi on every aspect of this match. Liquid is leading in the Blast Pro point standings with 26 points versus Navi's 6 points. Liquid is bolstering a 74% winrate in the last year on Dust2 while Navi is trailing at 35% winrate. And Navi hasn't been able to beat Liquid in any of the five Dust2 rounds since May of 2018.
Boukev's best bet: Team Liquid to beat Navi @1.6x
Astralis vs Team Liquid on Nuke
Number one in the points ranking Team Liquid is facing the runner up in points Astralis on Nuke on the second day of Copenhagen. In their current form I would only slightly favor Astralis to win. But on Nuke it is a whole different game. Looking at the recent matches played by Astralis on Nuke it is easy to see their dominance on this map. Of their 35 won matches on Nuke since July 2018 they managed to keep 26 opponents on a sub-10 round score rocking a 85% winrate. Meanwhile Team Liquid is on 11 won with 10 opponents on a sub-10 score and a 61% winrate on Nuke.
Boukev's best bet: Astralis to win against Team Liquid @1.7x
NiP vs Navi on Nuke
With the map Nuke returning five times in Copenhagen we might be fed up with this map around the time this last match of the group stage starts. The number #12 and #10 of the HLTV rankings are close in skill in their current form but NiP seem to be a lot more comfortable on Nuke. In the Blast Pro series in Moscow NiP showed they can win against Navi and I am betting on a similarly developing story for this match in Copenhagen. With odds of 2.4x for a NiP win this is my pick.
Boukev's best bet: NiP win against Navi @2.4x
ESL One New York 2019
This Thursday the first round of ESL One New York starts. The best-of-three format should give the favorite teams more opportunity to show their skill as opposed to the Blast Pro Series formats of late. Betting on wins for tournement winner favorites Team Liquid and Astralis hardly gives you a return on your bet so a risky bet could be made for eUnited to win versus Team Liquid which they should be very familiar with.
Boukev's Best (bold) bet: eUnited to win vs Team Liquid @6.0
Meanwhile, I would not bet against Astralis, who should be able to cruise along vs Optic surfing on their last tournament win. The closer matches give good enough odds to let me put bets on wins for ENCE and NRG against G2 esports and FaZe.
Even with coldzera added to FaZe, I do not see them beating the in form NRG who have been getting better and better and just seem to need some time to reach the top. G2 could win versus ENCE but I feel it is time for the Finns to finally get back in the game right on time for this tournament.
Boukev's best bet: ENCE to win vs G2 esports (1.6x)
Boukev's best bet: NRG to win vs FaZe (1.6x)
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Check the full ESL One New York 2019 schedule.
Blast Pro Series Moscow predictions
On the September 13th six teams will fight to win BLAST Pro Series Moscow and try to get their hands on half of the $250,000 priz epool.
AVANGAR were due to play against forZe just six hours before the first match to get in to the tournament but Team Vitality has announced they will not go to the Moscow tournament. This means both forZe and AVANGAR are automatically placed in the main tournament.
These best-of-one format tournamentsa at BLAST Pro Series can lead to surprising results but if I was asked to rank the current teams I would do so as follows:
- Na'vi (Zeus is still playing and will retire afterwards)
- ENCE (Aleksib replaced by sunny)
- NIB (Plopski is playing)
- MIBR (kNgV- added recently)
In the search for interesting bets in round one and round two, I would gaze my eye upon the following matches:
Bouke's Best Bets for BLAST Pro Moscow:
StarLadder Berlin Major
Boukev has made his StarLadder Berlin Major predictions for the New Champions Stage, including a 39x combo.
Friday, August 2nd, 2019
ESL One New York Qualifier
While most of the CSGO scene is on a break until the start the Berlin Major some teams will try to qualify to the ESL One: New York tournament in September. Let's look if we can find some interesting bet opportunities for the first matches.
First up is Avangar versus BIG . With the addition of AdreN the bookies are favouring Avangar to win this matchup. Avangar is looking in form with decent wins over lower ranked teams. On the other side it has been difficult to rank the quality of BIG. They have not had the best results in recent matches even with the addition of denis but but news just came in that smooya will be joining BIG as Denis replacement. They have also faced far stronger opponents than Avangar in the last 3 months. Due to the 2.3x gains on a BIG bet I will give this one more go.
Bouke's Best Bet: BIG to win @2.37
The next match of Group A is Forze vs Hellraisers. The Russian Forze made very quick work of HellRaisers when they last met for the Chicago Invitational with total rounds of 48 vs 17, and are the obvious favourite. forZe is also rocking an incredible winrate since June but seems ready to take on some more challenging opponents. HellRaisers should not pose a great threat for forZe so my bet is going to the Russian side.
Bouke's Best Bet: forZe to win @1.55
The next day, Danish Optic meets Bulgarian BPro. BPro have not faced strong opponents and while their current line up has a great winrate, they should be extreme underdogs against Optic. Betting on the match winner won't give you a great return so perhaps a bet on less than 26.5 in total rounds for map 1 is suitable.
Bouke's Best Bet: Under 26.5 rounds @1.45
Lastly, it is the Winstrike versus Sprout matchup. Winstrike lost the great player Bloombl4 in May and has only won 9 out of 33 matches (27%) since. Meanwhile Sprout is boasting a 67% winrate in the same period while facing strong opponents in the likes of Tricked, Furia and Vitality. I do expect Sprout to win but I highly doubt it will be a blowout. A bet on over +24.5 rounds for the map will give some good returns.
Bouke's Best Bet: Over 24.5 rounds @1.55
Tuesday, July 23rd, 2019
Asia minor - Qualifier for the Berlin Major
We have looked at the EU minor as qualifier for the Berlin Major but now let's move our heads towards the south and east for the Asia Minor. Some teams might be lesser known so let’s see how they got here and what we might expect from the different regions.
Greyhound Gaming vs Energy Esports is a matchup between a solid Greyhound team that had a pretty easy qualifier for this tournament against the Energy from South Africa who managed to surprise the expected favorite team Goliath in their finals of the SA qualifier. It is hard to picture Greyhound Gaming with their international experience lose to Energy in this match. You could bet on Greyhound if you are looking for a safer bet.
Bouke's Best Bet: Greyhound Gaming to win @1.09
The same goes for Tyloo.CS against the colorful band of nationalities from FFAmix, it is hard to see a victory of FFAmix.
Bouke's Best Bet: Tyloo.CS to win @1.12
MVP PK faces Alpha Red and even though MVP PK are clear favorites, Alpha Red is my dark horse pick to be surprisingly good this tournament, with odds of 4.0x I might take a bet.
Bouke's Best Bet: Alpha Red to win @4
The last match is the most spicy one of the four Bo1 matches; Avant Gaming vs 5Power Esports. Avant Gaming had to take out the strong teams in their region consisting of ORDER (2x), Rewound and Ground Zero Gaming in their journey to this qualifier.
5Power Esports did manage to beat Vici in their qualifier but managed to avoid both EHome and Tyloo on their road to second place. I would think they match is a coinflip for the winner but the odds favor a 5Power win so better money might be made in going for the 2.2x win for Avant Gaming.
Bouke's Best Bet: Avant Gaming to win @2.2
Monday, July 15th, 2019
The qualification matches of a Minor or Major are always a nice moment to check up on the skill difference between the "household" teams and the "almost-there" teams. The betting is almost always fascinating, so keep your eye on interesting odds for the Berlin Minor EU.
Both Sprout vs CR4ZY (Valiance) and Team Ancient vs Fnatic give decent 1.4x odds for my winning picks of CR4ZY and Fnatic. If you want to bet on something else as a match victory you could go for less than 24.5 rounds on the favorite of the EU minor mousesports vs NoChance.
Tuesday, July 9th, 2019
ESL Cologne has only just finished but the EU closed qualifier for ESL One New York is already happening today. Looking at the last 100 rounds played my ranking would be:
- 1 @TeamVitality - 1736
- 2 @G2esports - 1713
- 3 @gocr4zy - 1673
- 4 @mousesports - 1666
- 5 @TRICKED_esport - 1622
- 6 @BIGCLANgg - 1577
- 7 @sproutGG - 1545
- 8 @BLUEJAYS_Sports - 1518
With G2 Esports and Team Vitality on opposite sides of the ladder them meeting in the final of the qualifier is to be expected. Mousesports and BIG might have a very hard time to go up against CR4ZY and Tricked in the first round since they have shown good results against lesser teams. For betting I would focus on a probably easy victory by Vitality and a possible steal by Tricked against BIG as the surprise loser.
Bouke's Best Bet: Vitality to beat Sprout @1.20 / Tricket to beat BIG @2.73
Sunday, July 7th, 2019
With such a great final coming up between Team Liquid and Team Vitality for the ESL Cologne trophy there has to be some betting involved. Will Team Vitality beat the same odds as vs Astralis again? With Vitality's current form, anything above 3.0x seems a good return. But on the other hand with a Bo5 format I am not so sure anymore if Vitality can last. Betting on more than +3.5 or +4.5 maps to be played might be a better choice.
Bouke's Best Bet: Total maps +4.5 @2.55 / Total maps +3.5 @ 1.30
Friday, July 5th, 2019
With the quarter-finals of ESL One Cologne 2019 starting today a difficult bet for CSGO is pending. Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Natus Vincere with both teams having still new additions in boombl4cs and PlopskiCSGO.
In the last four rounds in 2019 they went toe to toe with a 2 to 2 score but Navi had a nine-round winstreak at the last half of 2018. With Na'Vi the 1.3x favorite on Luckbox I would take a good look at the good odds (3.1x) given for an NiP win.
Bouke's Best Bet: NIP to beat Na'Vi @3.3
Related: Bouke's latest League Of Legends betting tips
Share your CSGO betting tips
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*Odds correct at time of publishing. Please note that Bouke's tips are for guidance only and you should always do your own research and only bet what you can afford. Please gamble responsibly.
Picture: Copyright ESL | Sarah Cooper